Colliding cascades model for earthquake prediction

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Colliding Cascades Model for Earthquake Prediction

A wide set of premonitory seismicity patterns is reproduced on a numerical model of seismicity, and their performance in prediction of major earthquakes is evaluated. Seismicity is generated by the Colliding Cascades Model, recently developed by the same authors. The model has a hierarchical structure. It describes the interaction of two cascades: a direct cascade of loading, which is applied t...

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A Boolean Delay Equation Model of Colliding Cascades. Part II: Prediction of Critical Transitions

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Critical transitions in colliding cascades

We consider here the interaction of direct and inverse cascades in a hierarchical nonlinear system that is continuously loaded by external forces. The load is applied to the largest element and is transferred down the hierarchy to consecutively smaller elements, thereby forming a direct cascade. The elements of the system fail (i. e., break down) under the load. The smallest elements fail first...

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Summary for Structured Prediction Cascades

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Journal International

سال: 2000

ISSN: 0956-540X,1365-246X

DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-246x.2000.01237.x